Last Updated: January 29, 2026
Key Takeaway: As of January 24, 2026, initial jobless claims are moderately low with normal movement. The labor market remains shifting from typical patterns based on this indicator..
Overview
This report evaluates U.S. initial jobless claims as of January 24, 2026, using weekly data from the U.S. Department of Labor (via FRED). Rolling 52-week statistical benchmarks are applied to both claim levels and week-over-week changes to distinguish structural labor market trends from short-term volatility. Z-score analysis is used to identify when current values deviate meaningfully from recent historical patterns.
Weekly Analysis
Initial jobless claims for the week ending January 24 2026 totaled 209,000 (seasonally adjusted). The level Z-score is -1.28 (Moderately Low, 10th percentile). The delta Z-score is -0.08 (Normal Movement). Week-over-week change: -1000 claims.
Statistical Interpretation: Current claims are 1.28 standard deviations below the 52-week mean, placing them at the 10th percentile of recent observations. The series is beginning to diverge from its long-run average, though still within historically common bounds. This week’s change of -0.08 standard deviations is typical for weekly movements. Claims remain consistent with recent trends.
Custom Research and Analysis: Need a specialized evaluation or help interpreting specific datasets? We provide professional statistical analysis and custom reporting tailored to your requirements. Contact us to request a custom report.